Drink a bubble tea, then run it off — the math feels fair. A Harvard study that followed more than 100,000 adults says the balance does not work that way.
Exercise Does Not Erase the Risk
Even at the recommended activity level — 150 minutes of moderate exercise per week — people who drank at least 2 servings of sugary drinks a week (1 serving = 240 mL) still had a cardiovascular risk about 15% higher than people who almost never drank them. And in the most active group of all, the more sugary drinks, the higher the cardiovascular risk climbed.
A second large cohort study from the same team found the same pattern for type 2 diabetes: meeting the exercise recommendation did not fully cancel the association between sugary drinks and diabetes risk.
This is not a case against exercise. Exercise burns energy, builds muscle, and raises insulin sensitivity — all genuinely good for metabolic health.

Liquid Sugar Is Not Just Calories
The problem is that sugary drinks are not simply "high-calorie." Liquid sugar is absorbed fast and has almost no satiety — you can pour a large amount of free sugar into your body before you feel full. The fructose in it is metabolized mainly in the liver, and too much of it can promote fat production there. Studies have found that up to 80% of patients with lean-type fatty liver over-consume fructose.
Some drinks look light but are loaded with sugar. A kale juice marketed as a "healthy slimming" choice: 100 kcal, 24 g of sugar. An orange Americano that seems refreshing: 122 kcal, roughly 20 g of sugar.

One Drink Can Use Up the Whole Day's Sugar Budget
The World Health Organization recommends keeping free sugars below 10% of daily energy — ideally below 5%, which is about 25 grams for an average adult. One "low-calorie, no-burden" sweet drink can take up most of that quota.
Exercise and cutting sugary drinks are two separate healthy behaviors. Exercise is a plus. Drinking less is a plus. Neither automatically cancels the other — the benefits of exercise do not switch on a "one-click dodge" against the damage of sugary drinks.

So keep exercising — moving at all beats not moving. But if the drink can be cut a little, cut it a little.
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